Primera B — Colombia
Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 21:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.23) 1.81 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 22.3% 61.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
0 - 2
12.8%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 7.8% 14.1% 12.8% 7.7% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.5% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.1% 3.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack62%77%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Envigado
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%83%67%33%83%58%
Draws33%0%17%33%0%17%
Loses17%17%17%33%17%25%

Form: Union Magdalena: DWLWWWWDWLWW • Envigado: WWDLLWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Envigado
HATHAT
GF total8122061218
GF avg1.32.01.71.02.01.5
GA total5510549
GA avg0.80.80.80.80.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%92%50%
1.558%17%42%25%
2.525%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Wins43
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-22-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaEnvigado
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Union Magdalena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Dafabet
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away3.55 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 0.74 (league 1.23), Envigado = 1.81 (league 0.88)

Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 7.8% 14.1% 12.8% 7.7% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.5% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.1% 3.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 61.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1