Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 12:31 • Pride Park
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.37) 1.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 22.8% 54.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ipswich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 5.6% 10.2% 9.4% 5.7% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.1% 5.7% 5.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerbyIpswich
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby Ipswich
HATHAT
Played151530161329
Wins27%53%40%63%31%48%
Draws40%20%30%31%31%31%
Loses33%27%30%6%38%21%

Form: Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDW • Ipswich: DDLDWWDWLLWWDWDWLDWWLWDWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Derby Ipswich
HATHAT
GF total182644301949
GF avg1.21.71.51.91.51.7
GA total211637121628
GA avg1.41.11.20.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerbyIpswich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%77%86%66%
1.533%27%45%21%
2.513%13%24%10%
3.53%3%10%0%
4.53%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerbyIpswich
HATHAT
Clean sheets3477310
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricDerbyIpswich
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricDerbyIpswich
Wins54
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-55-01-4
Biggest losses3-53-10-33-1
Goals For3554
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricDerbyIpswich
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ipswich

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away2.02 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby = 1.05 (league 1.37), Ipswich = 1.84 (league 1.14)

Ipswich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 5.6% 10.2% 9.4% 5.7% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.1% 5.7% 5.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 54.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1