League One — England
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:01 • Home Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.47) 1.40 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 27.5% 50.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 10.9% 15.2% 10.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.5% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthLincoln
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack54%100%
Defense77%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth Lincoln
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins33%43%38%73%43%59%
Draws20%7%14%20%29%24%
Loses47%50%48%7%29%17%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLWLLWWWLDDWWWDL • Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWDWWWDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Plymouth Lincoln
HATHAT
GF total162036311748
GF avg1.11.41.22.11.21.7
GA total202242141529
GA avg1.31.61.40.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthLincoln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%83%66%
1.521%45%55%28%
2.517%21%21%7%
3.510%7%3%0%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthLincoln
HATHAT
Clean sheets4484610
Failed to score448145

Penalties

MetricPlymouthLincoln
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPlymouthLincoln
Wins33
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-55-20-3
Biggest losses1-44-00-13-0
Goals For4553
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthLincoln
Form43%57%
Att35%65%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h15%85%
Goals38%63%
Total38.0%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lincoln

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 0.82 (league 1.47), Lincoln = 1.40 (league 1.12)

Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 10.9% 15.2% 10.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.5% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 50.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1