Serie B — Italy
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 16:15 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.44) 0.41 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.1% 21.1% 7.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 11.3% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 8.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoEmpoli
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack50%17%
Defense92%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Empoli
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins64%36%50%25%40%32%
Draws27%45%36%58%0%32%
Loses9%18%14%17%60%36%

Form: Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWDWDWDW • Empoli: WLDLDDWDLDLWWWLLWDWLLD

League goals

Metric Palermo Empoli
HATHAT
GF total18153317926
GF avg1.61.41.51.40.91.2
GA total5914121628
GA avg0.50.80.61.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoEmpoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%50%73%73%
1.541%9%23%32%
2.518%5%14%18%
3.59%0%5%5%
4.59%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoEmpoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311336
Failed to score336246

Penalties

MetricPalermoEmpoli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPalermoEmpoli
Wins33
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-35-00-3
Biggest losses0-31-01-34-0
Goals For5353
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricPalermoEmpoli
Form69%31%
Att75%25%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Palermo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Bet365
Draw3.84 @ 1xBet
Away5.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 1.77 (league 1.44), Empoli = 0.41 (league 1.10)

Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 11.3% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 8.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.7% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.1% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 7.9%

vtt 4 , vtd1