Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 19:15 • Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.59) 1.09 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 25.0% 26.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gornik Zabrze 0 6.9% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.6% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGornik ZabrzeLech Poznan
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack50%70%
Defense0%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gornik Zabrze Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins70%33%53%30%33%32%
Draws10%22%16%40%44%42%
Loses20%44%32%30%22%26%
Gornik ZabrzeWWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDLLW
Lech PoznanLWWDWLWDDWDDDLWDDLL

League goals

Metric Gornik Zabrze Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total211031181230
GF avg2.11.11.61.81.31.6
GA total101525191130
GA avg1.01.71.31.91.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGornik ZabrzeLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%84%79%
1.547%26%53%53%
2.526%11%11%21%
3.55%11%11%5%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGornik ZabrzeLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets134044
Failed to score224033

Penalties

MetricGornik ZabrzeLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricGornik ZabrzeLech Poznan
Wins22
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-14-01-43-1
Goals For5344
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricGornik ZabrzeLech Poznan
Form44%56%
Att42%58%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total42.8%57.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.51 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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