Serie B — Brazil
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 19:00 • Arena NicNet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.14) 1.59 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 24.8% 46.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Paranaense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo SP 0 6.2% 9.9% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.4% 11.7% 9.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogo SPAtletico Paranaense
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack47%41%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo SP Atletico Paranaense
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins33%25%29%38%36%38%
Draws42%17%29%31%18%25%
Loses25%58%42%31%45%38%

Form: Botafogo SP: LDDLLWLLWDDLWWDDLLLWLDWW • Atletico Paranaense: WWLWLLDLWDLWWLWLLDDDLDWW

League goals

Metric Botafogo SP Atletico Paranaense
HATHAT
GF total101020141731
GF avg0.80.80.81.11.51.3
GA total112233141933
GA avg0.91.81.41.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogo SPAtletico Paranaense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%75%88%83%
1.525%38%42%33%
2.58%17%0%13%
3.54%4%0%8%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogo SPAtletico Paranaense
HATHAT
Clean sheets516224
Failed to score6713303

Penalties

MetricBotafogo SPAtletico Paranaense
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricBotafogo SPAtletico Paranaense
Wins22
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-01-2
Biggest losses0-35-01-44-2
Goals For2422
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricBotafogo SPAtletico Paranaense
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Botafogo SP or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.45 @ Betano
Draw3.07 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo SP = 1.19 (league 1.14), Atletico Paranaense = 1.59 (league 0.85)

Atletico Paranaense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo SP 0 6.2% 9.9% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.4% 11.7% 9.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 46.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1