Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 01:15 •
Jose Amalfitani
Expected Goals
3.98 (league 1.00)
1.33 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.9%
4 - 1
6.9%
5 - 1
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Boca Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 67% |
| Attack | 36% | 36% |
| Defense | 82% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Velez SarsfieldWWD
Boca JuniorsWLW
League goals
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away2.65 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…