Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 11:00 •
Miniestadio Cerro del Espino
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.40)
0.29 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.5% | 16.4% | 4.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
20.3%
1 - 0
19.9%
3 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Alcorcón II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| A Madrid III | 0 | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.3% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | A Madrid III | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 79% | 7% |
| Defense | 57% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | A Madrid III | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 67% | 55% | 60% | 45% | 11% | 30% |
| Draws | 22% | 18% | 20% | 27% | 11% | 20% |
| Loses | 11% | 27% | 20% | 27% | 78% | 50% |
A Madrid IIIWWWWLLWDDWWWLDWWWDWL
Alcorcón IIDDLLLDLDLWWWLWWLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | A Madrid III | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 32 | 52 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 19 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | A Madrid III | Alcorcón II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 85% | 50% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | 20% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 10% | 10% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | A Madrid III | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | A Madrid III | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | A Madrid III | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-8 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | A Madrid III | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 92% | 8% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 74.0% | 26.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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