Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 16:30 • Stade Marcel-Verchère
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.35) 2.44 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.2% 18.9% 40.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.2%
2 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
1 2.1% 5.1% 6.2% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5%
2 2.3% 5.7% 6.9% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Aubagne
Played33
Form22%44%
Attack17%22%
Defense72%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 14 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.75 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bourg-en-bresse 01 Aubagne
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws0%100%67%50%0%33%
Loses100%0%33%0%100%33%

Form: Bourg-en-bresse 01: DLD • Aubagne: LWD

League goals

Metric Bourg-en-bresse 01 Aubagne
HATHAT
GF total033404
GF avg0.01.51.02.00.01.3
GA total235235
GA avg2.01.51.71.03.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBourg-en-bresse 01Aubagne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%100%
1.533%67%33%33%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Aubagne
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Aubagne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Aubagne
Wins01
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1
Biggest losses0-23-0
Goals For0230
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricBourg-en-bresse 01Aubagne
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aubagne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bourg-en-bresse 01 = 2.23 (league 1.35), Aubagne = 2.44 (league 1.07)

Aubagne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 0.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
1 2.1% 5.1% 6.2% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5%
2 2.3% 5.7% 6.9% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.7% 4.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 40.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1