Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal San Benito
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.32)
0.41 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3% | 23.9% | 9.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 54% | 31% |
| Defense | 54% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 54% | 29% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% |
| Draws | 15% | 7% | 11% | 29% | 15% | 22% |
| Loses | 31% | 64% | 48% | 29% | 69% | 48% |
Form: Atlético Porcuna: WLLLWLWLWLLDLLWLWWDWLLWWWDL • Mancha Real: WDLWDWDLLLDLDLWLLDLWWLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 12 | 32 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 18 | 29 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 59% | 56% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 30% | 26% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 7% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Atlético Porcuna or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Porcuna = 1.59 (league 1.32), Mancha Real = 0.41 (league 0.98)
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 9.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1