Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 17:00 • Manfred-Werner-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.82) 1.56 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.5% 22.1% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hamburger SV II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Weiche Flensburg 0 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.0% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWeiche FlensburgHamburger SV II
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack75%25%
Defense8%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Weiche Flensburg Hamburger SV II
HATHAT
Played347426
Wins33%25%29%0%50%17%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%17%
Loses67%75%71%75%50%67%

Form: Weiche Flensburg: LWWLLLL • Hamburger SV II: DLWLLL

League goals

Metric Weiche Flensburg Hamburger SV II
HATHAT
GF total7916123
GF avg2.32.32.30.31.00.5
GA total891710313
GA avg2.72.32.42.51.52.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWeiche FlensburgHamburger SV II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%33%67%
1.571%71%17%67%
2.529%57%0%50%
3.529%14%0%33%
4.514%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWeiche FlensburgHamburger SV II
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011314

Penalties

MetricWeiche FlensburgHamburger SV II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWeiche FlensburgHamburger SV II
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-50-2
Biggest losses2-52-00-43-0
Goals For4512
Goals Against5343

Model comparison

MetricWeiche FlensburgHamburger SV II
Form50%50%
Att75%25%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Weiche Flensburg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.80 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Weiche Flensburg = 1.90 (league 1.82), Hamburger SV II = 1.56 (league 1.73)

Hamburger SV II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Weiche Flensburg 0 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.0% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 31.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1