Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31)
0.88 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2% | 34.8% | 36.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
17.1%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 19.5% | 17.1% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Notaresco | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 7% | 27% |
| Defense | 73% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Notaresco | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 33% | 45% | 39% | 33% | 45% | 39% |
| Draws | 33% | 45% | 39% | 50% | 18% | 35% |
| Loses | 33% | 9% | 22% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
NotarescoWDWWWLDWWWDLLDDWDWDLLDD
Vigor SenigalliaWDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Notaresco | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Notaresco | Vigor Senigallia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 52% | 70% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 30% | 26% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 4% | 4% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Notaresco | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Notaresco | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Notaresco | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Notaresco | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.74 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.78 @ Unibet
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League standings
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