Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 11:15 •
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.84)
2.85 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | 11.4% | 76.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.9%
0 - 3
12.3%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajax W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAC Breda W | 0 | 3.2% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 27% | 47% |
| Defense | 27% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 75% | 57% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
| Loses | 75% | 86% | 80% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
Form: NAC Breda W: LLLDLLWLLLWLLLL • Ajax W: WWDWWWWLWWDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 13 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 19 | 30 | 49 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NAC Breda W | Ajax W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 93% | 87% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 73% | 60% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 60% | 47% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 40% | 33% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 33% | 27% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 8-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 8-1 | 1-2 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 23.8% | 76.2% |
Advice: Winner : Ajax W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda W = 0.60 (league 1.84), Ajax W = 2.85 (league 1.60)
| Ajax W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAC Breda W | 0 | 3.2% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.2% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 76.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1