Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 17:30 •
Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Expected Goals
3.68 (league 1.48)
2.67 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.7% | 14.6% | 22.4% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.2%
4 - 2
4.8%
3 - 3
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Madrid CFF W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 47% | 40% |
| Defense | 20% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 22 | 4.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 40% | 44% | 42% | 30% | 56% | 42% |
| Draws | 40% | 33% | 37% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 20% | 22% | 21% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
Atletico Madrid WWWWDWDLDWWWLDDDLLDW
Madrid CFF WDWLDWWLWLLWWWLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 8 | 20 | 28 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 17 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 23 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Madrid W | Madrid CFF W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 63% | 74% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 32% | 37% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 16% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 16% | 16% | 5% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 5-0 | 1-6 | 12-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 81% | 19% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.52 @ Unibet
Draw4.60 @ 188Bet
Away6.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.60 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.25 @ William Hill
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League standings
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