Serie A Women — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 11:30 • Stadio Ferruccio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.64) 1.49 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 25.5% 43.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Como W 0 6.7% 9.9% 7.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.9% 7.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricComo WSassuolo W
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack36%27%
Defense18%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Como W Sassuolo W
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins29%50%38%29%17%23%
Draws0%33%15%14%33%23%
Loses71%17%46%57%50%54%

Form: Como W: LWLWWWLWLDLDL • Sassuolo W: DLWLDLDLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Como W Sassuolo W
HATHAT
GF total77143710
GF avg1.01.21.10.41.20.8
GA total1241661218
GA avg1.70.71.20.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineComo WSassuolo W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%62%69%
1.523%38%15%54%
2.58%15%0%8%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricComo WSassuolo W
HATHAT
Clean sheets134314
Failed to score224415

Penalties

MetricComo WSassuolo W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricComo WSassuolo W
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-41-00-1
Biggest losses1-31-00-24-0
Goals For2412
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricComo WSassuolo W
Form25%75%
Att57%43%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sassuolo W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Como W = 1.22 (league 1.64), Sassuolo W = 1.49 (league 1.37)

Sassuolo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Como W 0 6.7% 9.9% 7.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.9% 7.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 43.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1