First NL — Croatia
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:30 • Igralište Nogometni Klub Jarun
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.21) 0.63 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.1% 34.2% 22.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.8%
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sesvete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 19.8% 12.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJarunSesvete
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack46%15%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jarun Sesvete
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%0%24%25%33%29%
Draws50%33%41%63%33%47%
Loses0%67%35%13%33%24%

Form: Jarun: LDDLLWLWLDDWLWDDD • Sesvete: DDLWDDWWWDDLLDDWL

League goals

Metric Jarun Sesvete
HATHAT
GF total126186713
GF avg1.50.71.10.80.80.8
GA total615215712
GA avg0.81.71.20.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJarunSesvete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%82%65%53%
1.529%35%12%18%
2.56%6%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJarunSesvete
HATHAT
Clean sheets303448
Failed to score145336

Penalties

MetricJarunSesvete
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricJarunSesvete
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—1-00-2
Biggest losses—3-10-12-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricJarunSesvete
Form55%45%
Att75%25%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sesvete and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Superbet
Away2.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jarun = 0.99 (league 1.21), Sesvete = 0.63 (league 1.02)

Sesvete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarun 0 19.8% 12.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 22.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1