Serie B — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.44) 0.98 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 28.4% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 10.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSampdoriaPadova
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack88%75%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sampdoria Padova
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%8%25%25%33%29%
Draws33%33%33%42%25%33%
Loses25%58%42%33%42%38%

Form: Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLWLWLDWLDDWWD • Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWDLWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Sampdoria Padova
HATHAT
GF total17926141125
GF avg1.40.81.11.20.91.0
GA total141832151530
GA avg1.21.51.31.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSampdoriaPadova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%83%75%75%
1.521%33%25%38%
2.513%17%4%13%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSampdoriaPadova
HATHAT
Clean sheets314246
Failed to score347246

Penalties

MetricSampdoriaPadova
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricSampdoriaPadova
Wins22
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-23-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricSampdoriaPadova
Form69%31%
Att54%46%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sampdoria or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away5.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sampdoria = 1.26 (league 1.44), Padova = 0.98 (league 1.10)

Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 10.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 28.8%

vtt 3 , vtd1