Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Clandeboye Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.68) 2.73 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.2% 13.7% 72.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 3
10.1%
1 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
H&W Welders
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ards 0 3.0% 8.1% 11.1% 10.1% 6.9% 3.7%
1 2.3% 6.4% 8.7% 7.9% 5.4% 2.9%
2 0.9% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 2.1% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArdsH&W Welders
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 221 | 4.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ards H&W Welders
HATHAT
Played121325141327
Wins33%31%32%57%54%56%
Draws25%15%20%29%23%26%
Loses42%54%48%14%23%19%

Form: Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLLLLLLDWDWLDW • H&W Welders: WLWWLWDWDWLDWLDWDWDWLWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Ards H&W Welders
HATHAT
GF total142135373067
GF avg1.21.61.42.62.32.5
GA total201636131427
GA avg1.71.21.40.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArdsH&W Welders
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%80%89%63%
1.536%36%70%30%
2.516%20%44%7%
3.58%8%15%0%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArdsH&W Welders
HATHAT
Clean sheets3255510
Failed to score369123

Penalties

MetricArdsH&W Welders
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArdsH&W Welders
Wins23
Draws11
Losses81

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-812-00-4
Biggest losses1-43-12-32-0
Goals For38124
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricArdsH&W Welders
Form38%62%
Att32%68%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h40%60%
Goals30%70%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Winner : H&W Welders

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away1.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ards = 0.79 (league 1.68), H&W Welders = 2.73 (league 1.43)

H&W Welders
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ards 0 3.0% 8.1% 11.1% 10.1% 6.9% 3.7%
1 2.3% 6.4% 8.7% 7.9% 5.4% 2.9%
2 0.9% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 2.1% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.2% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 72.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1