League Two — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.35) 0.67 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 21.4% 12.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Harrogate Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 7.9% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 9.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldHarrogate Town
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack78%33%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Harrogate Town
HATHAT
Played141630161531
Wins43%38%40%19%13%16%
Draws43%38%40%6%33%19%
Loses14%25%20%75%53%65%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWWLDDDLWDW • Harrogate Town: WDDWLLLLWWLLLLLDLDLDLLLLDLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Harrogate Town
HATHAT
GF total252449111122
GF avg1.81.51.60.70.70.7
GA total152641292150
GA avg1.11.61.41.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldHarrogate Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%73%55%87%
1.550%37%13%48%
2.520%13%3%23%
3.53%7%0%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldHarrogate Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets448224
Failed to score2139514

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldHarrogate Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldHarrogate Town
Wins32
Draws32
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-26-20-43-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against3643

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldHarrogate Town
Form73%27%
Att70%30%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ Betfair
Away7.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.86 (league 1.35), Harrogate Town = 0.67 (league 1.14)

Harrogate Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 7.9% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 9.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 12.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1