Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Abbey Lawn
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.51)
1.26 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.6% | 25.2% | 31.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourne Town | 0 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bourne Town | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 21% | 64% |
| Defense | 64% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bourne Town | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 33% | 21% | 28% | 50% | 27% | 38% |
| Draws | 20% | 14% | 17% | 29% | 27% | 28% |
| Loses | 47% | 64% | 55% | 21% | 47% | 34% |
Form: Bourne Town: LLLWDLLWLLWDDDDLWWLLLWLLLWLWL • AFC Rushden & Diamonds: DDWLLLWWLWDLLWLDDWWWDLWLWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Bourne Town | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 13 | 31 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 13 | 28 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bourne Town | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 83% | 76% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 41% | 41% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 21% | 14% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bourne Town | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bourne Town | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bourne Town | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bourne Town | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 40.2% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Rushden & Diamonds
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bourne Town = 1.51 (league 1.51), AFC Rushden & Diamonds = 1.26 (league 1.34)
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourne Town | 0 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 31.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1