Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 •
The Dransfield Stadium
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.28)
0.53 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8% | 18.0% | 8.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.9%
1 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashington AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| North Ferriby | 0 | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | North Ferriby | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 13% |
| Attack | 11% | 11% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | North Ferriby | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 36% | 29% | 32% | 31% | 21% | 26% |
| Draws | 50% | 43% | 46% | 31% | 21% | 26% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 38% | 57% | 48% |
Form: North Ferriby: LDWDLDWWWDWWDDDDDLWDDWWDLLDL • Ashington AFC: LDLDLDLWWWLLLDDLLLWWWWLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | North Ferriby | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 15 | 35 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 21 | 26 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | North Ferriby | Ashington AFC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 64% | 52% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 25% | 26% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | North Ferriby | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | North Ferriby | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | North Ferriby | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | North Ferriby | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : North Ferriby or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): North Ferriby = 2.07 (league 1.28), Ashington AFC = 0.53 (league 1.25)
| Ashington AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| North Ferriby | 0 | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 8.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1