Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:30 • Stadiumi Skënderbeu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.33) 0.59 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.9% 24.8% 13.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
14.2%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Apolonia Fier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skenderbeu Korce 0 11.3% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 10.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 8.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSkenderbeu KorceApolonia Fier
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack44%13%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Skenderbeu Korce Apolonia Fier
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins80%64%71%27%30%29%
Draws10%18%14%36%20%29%
Loses10%18%14%36%50%43%

Form: Skenderbeu Korce: WDWWWWWWLWWWWLLWWDWWD • Apolonia Fier: LDWWDDLWDLLWWWLLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Skenderbeu Korce Apolonia Fier
HATHAT
GF total21173812719
GF avg2.11.51.81.10.70.9
GA total91120131023
GA avg0.91.01.01.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSkenderbeu KorceApolonia Fier
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%52%57%62%
1.552%33%33%38%
2.529%10%0%10%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSkenderbeu KorceApolonia Fier
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510538
Failed to score011459

Penalties

MetricSkenderbeu KorceApolonia Fier
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSkenderbeu KorceApolonia Fier
Wins63
Draws12
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-20-32-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricSkenderbeu KorceApolonia Fier
Form85%15%
Att78%22%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total75.4%24.6%

Advice: Double chance : Skenderbeu Korce or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Bet365
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ William Hill
No1.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Skenderbeu Korce = 1.58 (league 1.33), Apolonia Fier = 0.59 (league 1.06)

Apolonia Fier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skenderbeu Korce 0 11.3% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 10.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 8.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 13.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1