Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 13:15 • Kasarani Annex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.00) 1.11 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 32.9% 51.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.6%
0 - 0
20.4%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kariobangi Sharks 0 20.4% 22.6% 12.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.8% 10.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKariobangi SharksTusker
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack27%33%
Defense87%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kariobangi Sharks Tusker
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins20%17%18%27%55%41%
Draws40%50%45%27%9%18%
Loses40%33%36%45%36%41%

Form: Kariobangi Sharks: DDLWLLDLDDLLWDLDLDWDDW • Tusker: LLDDWWDWLLWWWLWLLWDLLW

League goals

Metric Kariobangi Sharks Tusker
HATHAT
GF total681481119
GF avg0.60.70.60.71.00.9
GA total10132314923
GA avg1.01.11.01.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKariobangi SharksTusker
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%59%73%64%
1.59%27%14%27%
2.50%9%0%9%
3.50%9%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKariobangi SharksTusker
HATHAT
Clean sheets459358
Failed to score4610426

Penalties

MetricKariobangi SharksTusker
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricKariobangi SharksTusker
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-10-2
Biggest losses1-44-20-43-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricKariobangi SharksTusker
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Kariobangi Sharks or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kariobangi Sharks = 0.48 (league 1.00), Tusker = 1.11 (league 0.90)

Tusker
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kariobangi Sharks 0 20.4% 22.6% 12.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.8% 10.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 51.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1