Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 11:00 • Nongprue Municipality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.62) 1.22 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 26.4% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.3%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nakhon Pathom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esan Pattaya 0 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsan PattayaNakhon Pathom
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack50%58%
Defense42%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esan Pattaya Nakhon Pathom
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%8%25%25%33%29%
Draws17%42%29%42%25%33%
Loses42%50%46%33%42%38%

Form: Esan Pattaya: DDWDLDWLDLDLWWLLLDLWLWLL • Nakhon Pathom: LLLDWWDLDLWLLDLLDDDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Esan Pattaya Nakhon Pathom
HATHAT
GF total2082861319
GF avg1.70.71.20.51.10.8
GA total16163261521
GA avg1.31.31.30.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsan PattayaNakhon Pathom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%58%58%
1.538%42%17%17%
2.58%13%4%8%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsan PattayaNakhon Pathom
HATHAT
Clean sheets5166410
Failed to score2687310

Penalties

MetricEsan PattayaNakhon Pathom
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricEsan PattayaNakhon Pathom
Wins22
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-43-00-13-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against4314

Model comparison

MetricEsan PattayaNakhon Pathom
Form32%68%
Att46%54%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nakhon Pathom

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esan Pattaya = 1.36 (league 1.62), Nakhon Pathom = 1.22 (league 1.17)

Nakhon Pathom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esan Pattaya 0 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1