Wed, Sep 3 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Olímpico Hermanos Ghersi Páez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.41) 0.51 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.7% 43.0% 24.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.9%
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 1
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Petare FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragua FC 0 31.9% 16.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack31%69%
Defense77%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aragua FC Petare FC
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins27%27%27%55%36%45%
Draws64%27%45%45%55%50%
Loses9%45%27%0%9%5%

Form: Aragua FC: DDLDWDWWDDDWWLDLLLDWDL • Petare FC: DDWWWDDDDLWWDWDWDWWDWD

League goals

Metric Aragua FC Petare FC
HATHAT
GF total11718151227
GF avg1.00.60.81.41.11.2
GA total491351015
GA avg0.40.80.60.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAragua FCPetare FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%68%45%
1.518%9%45%18%
2.59%0%5%5%
3.55%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets74117512
Failed to score6511347

Penalties

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
Wins23
Draws34
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-14-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-1—3-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricAragua FCPetare FC
Form31%69%
Att31%69%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h25%75%
Goals30%70%
Total40.2%60.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Petare FC and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Marathonbet
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.83 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aragua FC = 0.64 (league 1.41), Petare FC = 0.51 (league 0.87)

Petare FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aragua FC 0 31.9% 16.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 10.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1