La Liga — Spain
Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Mendizorrotza
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.50) 0.97 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 28.3% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Girona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 10.6% 10.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesGirona
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack33%40%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Girona
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%17%29%33%25%29%
Draws25%17%21%33%33%33%
Loses33%67%50%33%42%38%

Form: Alaves: WLDWLDLWDLWLLLWLLDLLWWLD • Girona: LLLDLDDWLDLWDDLWLWWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Alaves Girona
HATHAT
GF total14721121224
GF avg1.20.60.91.01.01.0
GA total131730191938
GA avg1.11.41.31.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesGirona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%71%83%
1.521%25%25%38%
2.54%13%4%25%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesGirona
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score369437

Penalties

MetricAlavesGirona
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricAlavesGirona
Wins23
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-45-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricAlavesGirona
Form47%53%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Girona

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ 1xBet
Draw3.06 @ 1xBet
Away3.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 1.28 (league 1.50), Girona = 0.97 (league 1.14)

Girona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 10.6% 10.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 27.9%

vtt 13 , vtd1