Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 16:00 • Stadion Lokomotiv
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.32) 0.76 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 20.3% 13.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 6.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack82%27%
Defense9%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Played131225121325
Wins23%33%28%33%15%24%
Draws46%33%40%8%15%12%
Loses31%33%32%58%69%64%

Form: Lokomotiv Sofia: DDWWDDLLDDLLDWLWDWWLDLWLD • Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDDWLLWLLLDLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Sofia Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
GF total16153113922
GF avg1.21.31.21.10.70.9
GA total151631212950
GA avg1.21.31.21.82.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%76%60%80%
1.536%36%20%60%
2.520%8%4%32%
3.50%4%4%12%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score4483710

Penalties

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Wins22
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-01-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-47-0
Goals For3324
Goals Against3447

Model comparison

MetricLokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Form45%55%
Att75%25%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lokomotiv Sofia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ SBO
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Sofia = 2.00 (league 1.32), Septemvri Sofia = 0.76 (league 1.11)

Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv Sofia 0 6.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 13.2%

vtt 6 , vtd1