Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Jose Silva Romo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.40) 1.08 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.8% 26.8% 29.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cumbayá
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chacaritas 0 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.8% 12.7% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChacaritasCumbayá
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack41%24%
Defense47%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chacaritas Cumbayá
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins17%9%13%33%27%30%
Draws58%9%35%33%18%26%
Loses25%82%52%33%55%43%

Form: Chacaritas: LDDDLDLLWLDLDLLLLWLDWDL • Cumbayá: WWWDDWLLLDDLLDWWLLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Chacaritas Cumbayá
HATHAT
GF total1672313720
GF avg1.30.61.01.10.60.9
GA total182947131629
GA avg1.52.62.01.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChacaritasCumbayá
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%91%57%70%
1.526%57%22%30%
2.513%35%4%17%
3.50%13%4%9%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChacaritasCumbayá
HATHAT
Clean sheets112527
Failed to score2794610

Penalties

MetricChacaritasCumbayá
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricChacaritasCumbayá
Wins13
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-26-01-34-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3634

Model comparison

MetricChacaritasCumbayá
Form56%44%
Att64%36%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chacaritas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.82 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chacaritas = 1.39 (league 1.40), Cumbayá = 1.08 (league 0.83)

Cumbayá
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chacaritas 0 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.8% 12.7% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 29.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1