MLS Next Pro — USA
Mon, Sep 1 2025 • 01:30 • Zions Bank Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.53) 2.18 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 18.4% 30.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
2 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tacoma Defiance
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Monarchs 0 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.2% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
2 2.8% 6.2% 6.7% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.5% 5.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.6% 3.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MonarchsTacoma Defiance
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack60%73%
Defense73%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Monarchs Tacoma Defiance
HATHAT
Played111122101121
Wins36%36%36%40%27%33%
Draws36%36%36%30%9%19%
Loses27%27%27%30%64%48%

Form: Real Monarchs: WDLWDDLWDWDWLLDDLWWLWD • Tacoma Defiance: LWWLWWWLLLDLWDDLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Real Monarchs Tacoma Defiance
HATHAT
GF total182038302151
GF avg1.61.81.73.01.92.4
GA total161935252853
GA avg1.51.71.62.52.52.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MonarchsTacoma Defiance
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%91%95%100%
1.550%50%67%71%
2.527%14%43%38%
3.59%5%33%19%
4.50%0%5%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MonarchsTacoma Defiance
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricReal MonarchsTacoma Defiance
Scored (total | %)20 | 66.67%5 | 83.33%
Missed (total | %)10 | 33.33%1 | 16.67%
Total306

Streaks

MetricReal MonarchsTacoma Defiance
Wins23
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-44-11-4
Biggest losses1-34-04-65-0
Goals For4454
Goals Against3466

Model comparison

MetricReal MonarchsTacoma Defiance
Form71%29%
Att45%55%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h62%38%
Goals47%53%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Monarchs or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Bet365
Draw4.24 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.90 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Monarchs = 2.61 (league 1.53), Tacoma Defiance = 2.18 (league 1.31)

Tacoma Defiance
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Monarchs 0 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.2% 4.7% 5.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9%
2 2.8% 6.2% 6.7% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.5% 5.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.6% 3.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1