Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Igor Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.36) 0.73 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.1% 11.4% 6.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
3 - 0
10.8%
4 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Fiorita 0 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 7.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLa FioritaLibertas
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack47%60%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric La Fiorita Libertas
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins40%73%57%40%18%29%
Draws50%18%33%20%36%29%
Loses10%9%10%40%45%43%
La FioritaDWWDDWWWDWDWDWDWWLWLW
LibertasDLLWDDLLDDLWLLLWWDWLW

League goals

Metric La Fiorita Libertas
HATHAT
GF total172744121123
GF avg1.72.52.11.21.01.1
GA total10818152641
GA avg1.00.70.91.52.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLa FioritaLibertas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%62%76%90%
1.571%24%29%38%
2.529%0%5%29%
3.510%0%0%19%
4.510%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLa FioritaLibertas
HATHAT
Clean sheets268112
Failed to score112325

Penalties

MetricLa FioritaLibertas
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricLa FioritaLibertas
Wins32
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-53-11-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-46-1
Goals For3532
Goals Against2246

Model comparison

MetricLa FioritaLibertas
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h93%7%
Goals84%16%
Total68.7%31.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Bet365
Draw6.90 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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