Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Sarriena
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.50)
0.99 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.6% | 29.0% | 30.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 11.3% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leioa | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 92% | 67% |
| Defense | 42% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leioa | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 55% | 45% | 27% | 36% |
| Draws | 10% | 17% | 14% | 36% | 45% | 41% |
| Loses | 30% | 33% | 32% | 18% | 27% | 23% |
LeioaLWWLLDWWDWWLLDWWLWWWWL
DurangoDDDWDDDLLWWDWWWLDLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Leioa | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 12 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leioa | Durango | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 64% | 64% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 18% | 23% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 14% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leioa | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leioa | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leioa | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leioa | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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