Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 17:45 •
Philips Stadion
Expected Goals
3.01 (league 1.76)
1.68 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.1% | 16.0% | 18.7% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 1
7.0%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Heerenveen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 71% | 57% |
| Defense | 57% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 73% | 92% | 83% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
| Draws | 18% | 0% | 9% | 42% | 18% | 30% |
| Loses | 9% | 8% | 9% | 25% | 45% | 35% |
PSV EindhovenWWWLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWL
HeerenveenDLLDLWDWWDDLWLLWWDLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 31 | 67 | 22 | 17 | 39 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 74% | 78% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 87% | 39% | 52% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 9% | 35% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 13 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-5 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 84% | 16% |
| Total | 68.3% | 31.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ William Hill
Draw6.01 @ Pinnacle
Away8.34 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.65 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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