Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 •
Your Co-op Community Stadium
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.57)
2.33 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 17.9% | 65.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.6%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Merthyr Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leamington | 0 | 3.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leamington | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 6% | 71% |
| Defense | 29% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leamington | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 27% | 0% | 13% | 59% | 53% | 56% |
| Draws | 13% | 31% | 23% | 6% | 12% | 9% |
| Loses | 60% | 69% | 65% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
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Merthyr TownWWLWLLWWLDLLWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWLLLLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Leamington | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 39 | 38 | 77 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 21 | 34 | 55 | 28 | 31 | 59 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leamington | Merthyr Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 90% | 82% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 58% | 68% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 19% | 38% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 21% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 9% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leamington | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leamington | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leamington | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 7-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leamington | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 8% | 92% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 24.4% | 75.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away1.81 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Betano
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Unibet
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League standings
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