Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 22:00 • Estadio Tlahuicole
Second Half
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.62) 1.37 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.6% 27.9% 50.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Tepatitlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tlaxcala 0 11.6% 15.8% 10.8% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.1% 12.5% 8.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 3.6% 4.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTlaxcalaTepatitlán
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack75%50%
Defense58%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tlaxcala Tepatitlán
HATHAT
Played101020131225
Wins50%10%30%46%25%36%
Draws30%30%30%23%58%40%
Loses20%60%40%31%17%24%

Form: Tlaxcala: DLLLDWWWDLDDLLLWWLWD • Tepatitlán: DDWWWDDLDWLLDLWDLLDWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Tlaxcala Tepatitlán
HATHAT
GF total16824171431
GF avg1.60.81.21.31.21.2
GA total122436121022
GA avg1.22.41.80.90.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTlaxcalaTepatitlán
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%85%68%68%
1.530%50%32%16%
2.510%30%20%4%
3.55%10%4%0%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTlaxcalaTepatitlán
HATHAT
Clean sheets213448
Failed to score246358

Penalties

MetricTlaxcalaTepatitlán
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricTlaxcalaTepatitlán
Wins33
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-25-11-21-0
Goals For5234
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricTlaxcalaTepatitlán
Form48%52%
Att60%40%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tepatitlán

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.74 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tlaxcala = 0.79 (league 1.62), Tepatitlán = 1.37 (league 1.05)

Tepatitlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tlaxcala 0 11.6% 15.8% 10.8% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.1% 12.5% 8.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 3.6% 4.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 50.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1