J1 League — Japan
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 10:00 • Toyota Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.33) 1.21 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 24.0% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC Tokyo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nagoya Grampus 0 5.5% 6.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.2% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.5% 5.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNagoya GrampusFC Tokyo
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack50%50%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nagoya Grampus FC Tokyo
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%14%26%36%23%30%
Draws31%21%26%21%23%22%
Loses31%64%48%43%54%48%

Form: Nagoya Grampus: LDLLDLWWLLWLLWDDDWWLDWDLLLL • FC Tokyo: WLWLDLLDLDDWLWWLLLDLWWLWLDL

League goals

Metric Nagoya Grampus FC Tokyo
HATHAT
GF total201333151429
GF avg1.50.91.21.11.11.1
GA total162541212041
GA avg1.21.81.51.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNagoya GrampusFC Tokyo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%81%52%81%
1.533%48%37%48%
2.511%15%19%19%
3.50%7%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNagoya GrampusFC Tokyo
HATHAT
Clean sheets415325
Failed to score2467613

Penalties

MetricNagoya GrampusFC Tokyo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricNagoya GrampusFC Tokyo
Wins22
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses3-44-00-43-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricNagoya GrampusFC Tokyo
Form20%80%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Tokyo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away3.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nagoya Grampus = 1.69 (league 1.33), FC Tokyo = 1.21 (league 1.10)

FC Tokyo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nagoya Grampus 0 5.5% 6.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.2% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.5% 5.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1