Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.32)
0.65 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4% | 43.0% | 33.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.9%
0 - 1
20.8%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Arenas Armilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 31.9% | 20.8% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mancha Real | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mancha Real | Arenas Armilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 42% | 10% | 27% | 58% | 30% | 45% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 27% | 17% | 50% | 32% |
| Loses | 25% | 70% | 45% | 25% | 20% | 23% |
Form: Mancha Real: WDLWDWDLLLDLDLWLLDLWWL • Arenas Armilla: WWWWLLDLDWWDWDLWDWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Mancha Real | Arenas Armilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mancha Real | Arenas Armilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 73% | 64% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 23% | 36% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mancha Real | Arenas Armilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mancha Real | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mancha Real | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mancha Real | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arenas Armilla and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mancha Real = 0.49 (league 1.32), Arenas Armilla = 0.65 (league 0.98)
| Arenas Armilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 31.9% | 20.8% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 33.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1