Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:30 • BG Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.58) 0.15 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.6% 9.8% 1.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
22.1%
3 - 0
18.5%
1 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sukhothai FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
BG Pathum United 0 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.5% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack75%17%
Defense50%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BG Pathum United Sukhothai FC
HATHAT
Played10112112921
Wins60%36%48%33%0%19%
Draws20%36%29%50%33%43%
Loses20%27%24%17%67%38%

Form: BG Pathum United: DWLWLWDWLWDDWWWDLWDLW • Sukhothai FC: LWDLDDDWLDWDLWLLDLDDL

League goals

Metric BG Pathum United Sukhothai FC
HATHAT
GF total18133113215
GF avg1.81.21.51.10.20.7
GA total91221102030
GA avg0.91.11.00.82.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%62%52%81%
1.548%29%14%24%
2.510%10%5%14%
3.55%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets448314
Failed to score1233710

Penalties

MetricBG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
Wins31
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-1—
Biggest losses1-33-11-26-0
Goals For4231
Goals Against3326

Model comparison

MetricBG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
Form70%30%
Att82%18%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%37%
Total74.0%26.0%

Advice: Winner : BG Pathum United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Unibet
Draw5.27 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 10Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BG Pathum United = 2.51 (league 1.58), Sukhothai FC = 0.15 (league 1.23)

Sukhothai FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
BG Pathum United 0 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.6% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.5% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.6% · Draw 9.8% · Away win 1.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1