Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:00 • Stadion am Bruchweg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.83) 1.54 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 25.0% 43.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
TSV Steinbach
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 II 0 6.2% 9.5% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 7.7% 11.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IITSV Steinbach
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack29%29%
Defense62%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FSV Mainz 05 II TSV Steinbach
HATHAT
Played101121101020
Wins60%27%43%30%50%40%
Draws30%36%33%40%40%40%
Loses10%36%24%30%10%20%

Form: FSV Mainz 05 II: DLWWDDWDWWDWDWDLLWWLL • TSV Steinbach: WWWWDLDDDWWDWLLLWDDD

League goals

Metric FSV Mainz 05 II TSV Steinbach
HATHAT
GF total191534162440
GF avg1.91.41.61.62.42.0
GA total101828161228
GA avg1.01.61.31.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFSV Mainz 05 IITSV Steinbach
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%86%85%90%
1.562%38%55%40%
2.519%10%35%10%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IITSV Steinbach
HATHAT
Clean sheets303112
Failed to score224303

Penalties

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IITSV Steinbach
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IITSV Steinbach
Wins24
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-21-5
Biggest losses0-13-00-33-2
Goals For3345
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricFSV Mainz 05 IITSV Steinbach
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or TSV Steinbach

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FSV Mainz 05 II = 1.24 (league 1.83), TSV Steinbach = 1.54 (league 1.56)

TSV Steinbach
0 1 2 3 4 5
FSV Mainz 05 II 0 6.2% 9.5% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 7.7% 11.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 43.7%

vtt 6 , vtd1