Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.13)
0.82 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 31.6% | 27.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Naval 1893 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peniche | 0 | 15.2% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Peniche | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 25% | 19% |
| Defense | 69% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Peniche | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 22% | 28% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 33% | 28% |
| Loses | 33% | 44% | 39% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
Form: Peniche: LWWLWLLWDLLWDDDDDL • Naval 1893: WLLWWWWDWDWWLDWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Peniche | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 16 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Peniche | Naval 1893 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 72% | 78% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 44% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 22% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Peniche | Naval 1893 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Peniche | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Peniche | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 3-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Peniche | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Naval 1893 and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Peniche = 1.07 (league 1.13), Naval 1893 = 0.82 (league 1.08)
| Naval 1893 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peniche | 0 | 15.2% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 27.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1