Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:15 • Stade Saint-Symphorien
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.62) 1.52 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 25.7% 47.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Stade Brestois 29
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 7.6% 11.6% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.2% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetzStade Brestois 29
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack30%70%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metz Stade Brestois 29
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%8%13%50%18%35%
Draws27%8%17%25%27%26%
Loses55%83%70%25%55%39%

Form: Metz: LLLDLDLLLWWWLLLLDLLLDLL • Stade Brestois 29: DLLLWWDDLLDLWWWLWLLDWDW

League goals

Metric Metz Stade Brestois 29
HATHAT
GF total101222181331
GF avg0.91.01.01.51.21.3
GA total183452132134
GA avg1.62.82.31.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetzStade Brestois 29
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%83%70%70%
1.535%57%43%52%
2.50%52%17%26%
3.50%17%4%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetzStade Brestois 29
HATHAT
Clean sheets314617
Failed to score549437

Penalties

MetricMetzStade Brestois 29
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricMetzStade Brestois 29
Wins33
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses2-56-10-33-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

MetricMetzStade Brestois 29
Form11%89%
Att30%70%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h20%80%
Goals41%59%
Total28.3%71.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stade Brestois 29

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away2.16 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.89 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metz = 1.05 (league 1.62), Stade Brestois 29 = 1.52 (league 1.26)

Stade Brestois 29
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metz 0 7.6% 11.6% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.2% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 47.6%

vtt 23 , vtd1