Iraqi League — Iraq
Mon, Mar 23 2026 • 16:30 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.19) 1.02 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 24.6% 23.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Diyala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 7.0% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilDiyala
Played55
Form80%13%
Attack63%19%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Diyala
HATHAT
Played111122101121
Wins73%55%64%30%27%29%
Draws9%36%23%50%27%38%
Loses18%9%14%20%45%33%

Form: Erbil: WWDWWWWDWDWWLLDDWLWWWW • Diyala: WWWDLWDWDLDLDDLWDLLLD

League goals

Metric Erbil Diyala
HATHAT
GF total171633101222
GF avg1.51.51.51.01.11.0
GA total1171881422
GA avg1.00.60.80.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilDiyala
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%64%81%81%
1.550%18%19%24%
2.523%0%5%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilDiyala
HATHAT
Clean sheets358314
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricErbilDiyala
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricErbilDiyala
Wins43
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-21-00-22-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricErbilDiyala
Form86%14%
Att77%23%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Erbil or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ Unibet
Draw3.62 @ 1xBet
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 1.64 (league 1.19), Diyala = 1.02 (league 1.08)

Diyala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 7.0% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 23.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1