Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 06:00 •
Ajinomoto Stadium
Expected Goals
5.28 (league 1.33)
1.34 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
best score tips
5 - 1
6.1%
4 - 1
5.8%
5 - 0
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Kashiwa Reysol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Tokyo | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 32% | 21% |
| Defense | 84% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 9 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
FC TokyoWWW
Kashiwa ReysolLLL
League goals
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Tokyo | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 54.4% | 45.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ Betano
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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