Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 07:15 •
Paisley Park
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.71)
2.76 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.4% | 15.7% | 64.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| South Melbourne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Altona Magic | 0 | 2.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Altona Magic | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Attack | 25% | 19% |
| Defense | 75% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Altona Magic | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | — | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | — | 50% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Altona MagicWL
South MelbourneWL
League goals
| Metric | Altona Magic | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Altona Magic | South Melbourne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Altona Magic | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Altona Magic | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Altona Magic | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Altona Magic | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 32.0% | 68.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Betfair
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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