Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 13:00 • Stadion Miejski Gubin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.68) 2.16 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.9% 17.1% 72.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.6%
0 - 1
14.5%
0 - 3
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carina Gubin 0 6.7% 14.5% 15.6% 11.3% 6.1% 2.6%
1 3.6% 7.8% 8.5% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarina GubinSparta Katowice
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack42%100%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carina Gubin Sparta Katowice
HATHAT
Played101020111021
Wins40%30%35%36%80%57%
Draws10%60%35%55%0%29%
Loses50%10%30%9%20%14%

Form: Carina Gubin: DLDLDWWWDDDLWWWLDWLL • Sparta Katowice: DWDWWWDWWLDWWWWDWLLDW

League goals

Metric Carina Gubin Sparta Katowice
HATHAT
GF total131730181937
GF avg1.31.71.51.61.91.8
GA total16193514721
GA avg1.61.91.81.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarina GubinSparta Katowice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%85%81%57%
1.545%55%57%29%
2.510%20%29%10%
3.50%5%10%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarina GubinSparta Katowice
HATHAT
Clean sheets213459
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricCarina GubinSparta Katowice
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricCarina GubinSparta Katowice
Wins34
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-22-00-4
Biggest losses1-36-03-42-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against3642

Model comparison

MetricCarina GubinSparta Katowice
Form36%64%
Att28%72%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Winner : Sparta Katowice

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carina Gubin = 0.54 (league 1.68), Sparta Katowice = 2.16 (league 1.40)

Sparta Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carina Gubin 0 6.7% 14.5% 15.6% 11.3% 6.1% 2.6%
1 3.6% 7.8% 8.5% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 72.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1