Liga MX U21 — Mexico
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.63) 1.20 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.8% 24.1% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca U21 0 5.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.3% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca U21Guadalajara Chivas U21
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack93%36%
Defense21%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins77%38%58%54%38%46%
Draws0%8%4%8%8%8%
Loses23%54%38%38%54%46%

Form: Toluca U21: WWWLLLWWLLWWWLWLWLDWWLWWWL • Guadalajara Chivas U21: WWLWLLWLWLLWWLWLWDDLLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Toluca U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
HATHAT
GF total271643211334
GF avg2.11.21.71.61.01.3
GA total171734181735
GA avg1.31.31.31.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca U21Guadalajara Chivas U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%73%77%81%
1.554%42%38%46%
2.519%12%15%4%
3.512%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca U21Guadalajara Chivas U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets437325
Failed to score055156

Penalties

MetricToluca U21Guadalajara Chivas U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricToluca U21Guadalajara Chivas U21
Wins33
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-12-3
Biggest losses1-42-02-42-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricToluca U21Guadalajara Chivas U21
Form50%50%
Att72%28%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away2.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toluca U21 = 1.67 (league 1.63), Guadalajara Chivas U21 = 1.20 (league 1.09)

Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca U21 0 5.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.3% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 27.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1