Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:00 • Campo da Mata
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.22) 0.88 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 29.9% 27.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 12.8% 11.2% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.2% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldasAmora
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack40%30%
Defense50%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldas Amora
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%30%35%20%30%25%
Draws20%10%15%40%20%30%
Loses40%60%50%40%50%45%
CaldasWWLDWDWWDLLLLLLLLWWL
AmoraWLDWLLLDWDWDDLLDLWLL

League goals

Metric Caldas Amora
HATHAT
GF total1271912719
GF avg1.20.71.01.20.71.0
GA total131225141226
GA avg1.31.21.31.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldasAmora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%75%60%70%
1.530%40%25%40%
2.50%5%10%20%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldasAmora
HATHAT
Clean sheets145246
Failed to score257358

Penalties

MetricCaldasAmora
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCaldasAmora
Wins21
Draws12
Losses83

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-33-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricCaldasAmora
Form60%40%
Att57%43%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total52.5%47.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.16 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Unibet
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League standings

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