Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Abanca Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.54) 1.93 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 16.7% 22.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 1
6.3%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
1 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.2% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
4 2.4% 4.7% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack57%64%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta Vigo PAOK
HATHAT
Played4597613
Wins75%40%56%43%33%38%
Draws0%20%11%43%17%31%
Loses25%40%33%14%50%31%

Form: Celta Vigo: LWWWLLWDW • PAOK: DWLWDLWWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Celta Vigo PAOK
HATHAT
GF total8917131124
GF avg2.01.81.91.91.81.8
GA total571231417
GA avg1.31.41.30.42.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta VigoPAOK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%89%77%54%
1.567%33%46%38%
2.522%11%31%31%
3.50%0%23%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
HATHAT
Clean sheets011516
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-03-4
Biggest losses1-23-21-24-2
Goals For3354
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
Form58%42%
Att47%53%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ 188Bet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away5.83 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 2.99 (league 1.54), PAOK = 1.93 (league 1.21)

PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
1 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.2% 6.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
4 2.4% 4.7% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 22.4%

vtt 6 , vtd1