Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 20:15 •
Estadio Eva Perón
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.00)
0.33 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.7% | 14.4% | 4.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
17.1%
3 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Santa Fe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarmiento Junin | 0 | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.1% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.3% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 50% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Sarmiento JuninLWLWLL
Union Santa FeDLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarmiento Junin | Union Santa Fe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 50% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarmiento Junin | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ 188Bet
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…