Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 22:15 •
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.00)
0.40 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.5% | 37.8% | 15.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.1%
1 - 0
24.6%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Velez Sarsfield | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estudiantes L.P. | 0 | 27.1% | 10.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.6% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estudiantes L.P. | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 100% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estudiantes L.P. | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 25% | 57% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 75% | 43% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Estudiantes L.P.DWDWDWW
Velez SarsfieldWWDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Estudiantes L.P. | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estudiantes L.P. | Velez Sarsfield | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | 86% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estudiantes L.P. | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estudiantes L.P. | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estudiantes L.P. | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estudiantes L.P. | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 53.6% | 46.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ 10Bet
Away4.22 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.31 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…