Liga MX — Mexico
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.54) 1.17 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 21.3% 21.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 4.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 6.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachucaNecaxa
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack54%54%
Defense77%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca Necaxa
HATHAT
Played131427121325
Wins54%29%41%33%23%28%
Draws8%36%22%25%15%20%
Loses38%36%37%42%62%52%

Form: Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWDLDLLWLLWDDWWWL • Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWDWLLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Pachuca Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total171734151934
GF avg1.31.21.31.31.51.4
GA total121830143145
GA avg0.91.31.11.22.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachucaNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%74%68%96%
1.544%37%32%44%
2.519%0%24%32%
3.50%0%12%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachucaNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets437101
Failed to score5510538

Penalties

MetricPachucaNecaxa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricPachucaNecaxa
Wins42
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-33-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricPachucaNecaxa
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals68%32%
Total68.7%31.5%

Advice: Double chance : Pachuca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betfair
Draw3.85 @ Betano
Away4.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca = 2.03 (league 1.54), Necaxa = 1.17 (league 1.15)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 4.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 6.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 21.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1